Everything about The Bigger Fool Theory totally explained
The
bigger fool theory or
greater fool theory (also called
survivor investing) is the belief held by one who makes a questionable
investment, with the assumption that that'll be able to sell it later to "a bigger fool"; in other words, buying something not because you believe that it's worth the price, but rather because you believe that you'll be able to sell it to some one else for an even higher
price.
It might be on some occasions a valid method of making money in the
stock market -- however, the market participants eventually realize that the price level is too outrageous and the
speculative bubble pops. The bigger fool theory relies on market optimism concerning a particular stock, an industry, or the market as a whole.
The opposite of the bigger fool theory is
value investing, which tries to discount market psychology. Value investors such as
Warren Buffett believe that it's corporate profits which are the normal returns from stock investments, and any higher return is only possible due to the bigger fool theory.
The bigger fool theory holds for any pure value transaction, not just speculative ones. When a commodity with a
universal value is traded then, no matter how the situation is interpreted, either the seller or the buyer has made a mistake.
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